sportsjabber.net

Now it’s time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.

I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.

I base my decisions on match-ups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one match-up or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

For the playoffs I will pick one matchup for quarterback, running back, and wide receiver

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Kurt Warner over Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers (individually)
Warner:  10.25
Manning:  Loser  20.1
Rivers:  Loser 25.3
Felix Jones over LaDainian Tomlinson:  Winner Felix 9.1, LT 2.4
Marques Colston over Vincent Jackson +2 :  Winner Colston 14.3, V-Jax 13.1 (11.1 actual +2)
Divisional Round Picks:  2-2

Season Record
Regular Picks: 41-40-1
Super Stretch Picks:  8-12
Playoffs Picks:  5-3
Overall: 54-55-1

Conference Championship Picks

Brett Favre over Peyton Manning +2
You have three elite QBs and Sanchez so it makes it difficult to do an out on a limb pick here. I’ll take Favre against the Saints and spot Peyton two points.

Shonn Greene over Joseph Addai +1
Greene has been running wild in the postseason, but he’s still not a sure thing. Joseph Addai gets it done on the ground and through the air, but the Jets have the best defense left in the field. I’ll spot Addai a point to make it more interesting.

Austin Collie over Reggie Wayne
I respect Darrelle Revis enough that I’ll take Robin to outperform Batman this week. While Manning won’t completely shy away from Revis, he will be cautious when throwing at him.

Originally published at LestersLegends.com.

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/330060-fantasy-football-out-on-a-limb-2009-conference-championship-edition