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Alex Rios was supposed to be one of the elite outfielders in the game.  He has shown the power/speed combination that fantasy owners lust for.  However, we have yet to see the full potential that he possesses in 2011.  Should we give up hope?  Should we try to buy low?

One of the major problems is his luck, as he entered Sunday with a BABIP of .211 (sixth worst in the league).  It’s not like he is doing anything dramatically different at the plate.  He’s not swinging for the fences (35.6 percent fly ball rate, compared to a career mark of 37.4 percent).  He also is generating line drives, with a 19.9 percent line drive rate.

The bottom line is that he is suffering from poor luck, and it has helped lead to a .205 average.  There really is no reason for us to think that this is going to continue.  As long as he continues with the metrics that he has and do what he does, you have to believe a hot streak is going to come.

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