A couple of data points made me think, hey, Bonds’ and Clemens’ Hall of Fame case may not be as bleak as everyone things, but the AP has taken a straw poll, and it’s not all that optimistic:
With steroid scandals still very much on the minds of longtime members of the Baseball Writers’ Association of America as they cast their ballots, the trio failed to muster even 50 percent support among the 112 voters contacted by the AP — nearly one-fifth of those eligible to choose. Candidates need 75 percent for election.
You figure the AP has better contacts with active writers than those old legacy dudes who get Hall of Fame votes because they covered baseball for a season or two back in the 60s. In my personal experience, active writers would be more likely than older, inactive writers to give Bonds and Clemens the benefit of the doubt, so this does not look promising at all.
Someone get Nate Silver on the horn and boil a pot of coffee. We need to get to the bottom of this.